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| empirically grounded technology forecasts and the energy transition: Five Times Faster Simon Sharpe, 2023-01-31 We need to act five times faster to avoid dangerous climate change. As Greenland melts, Australia burns, and greenhouse gas emissions continue to rise, we think we know who the villains are: oil companies, consumerism, weak political leaders. But what if the real blocks to progress are the ideas and institutions that are supposed to be helping us? Five Times Faster is an inside story from Simon Sharpe, who has spent ten years at the forefront of climate change policy and diplomacy. In our fight to avoid dangerous climate change, science is pulling its punches, diplomacy is picking the wrong battles, and economics has been fighting for the other side. This provocative and engaging book sets out how we should rethink our strategies and reorganise our efforts in the fields of science, economics, and diplomacy, so that we can act fast enough to stay safe. |
| empirically grounded technology forecasts and the energy transition: Advanced Introduction to Sustainability Transitions Frank W. Geels, 2024-08-06 In this insightful book, Frank W. Geels provides an advanced and evidenced introduction to one of the most important and dynamic topics in contemporary debates on how to address grand challenges like climate change and biodiversity loss. |
| empirically grounded technology forecasts and the energy transition: Energy Security and The Green Transition Jaden Kim, Augustus J Panton, Gregor Schwerhoff, 2024-01-12 The current energy crisis has raised important policy questions on how to strengthen short-term energy security while remaining firmly committed to the green transition, a challenge amplified by the recent consensus at COP28 to transition away from fossil fuels. This paper examines the historical determinants of the security of energy supply and analyzes the green transition implications for energy security. Looking back, we find that the diversification of energy trade partners, or the lack thereof, was the main factor that underpinned energy security dynamics within and across countries over the last two decades. Looking ahead, the green transition is expected to have a net positive effect on energy security provided investments are aligned to address new challenges posed by the increased reliance on renewables. |
| empirically grounded technology forecasts and the energy transition: Mission Zero Chris Skidmore, 2023-11-28 Mission Zero is a landmark independent report into the delivery of the UK's commitment to net zero carbon dioxide emissions by 2050. Chaired by Chris Skidmore, the UK's former Energy Minister who was responsible for signing net zero into law, its conclusions set out, for the very first time, a new economic narrative for climate policy, demonstrating the vast financial opportunity that net zero can deliver. This timely and crucial report acts as a template for how all countries can map out future challenges and opportunities and, above all, deliver their own pathway to net zero while also creating new jobs, industries and investment for the future. Commissioned by the UK's Prime Minister in September 2022, Mission Zero is the largest engagement exercise on net zero conducted to date and has been widely recognised as the most informative and detailed document on the topic, covering every sector and aspect of society. This important book is a vital piece of work and an indispensable must-read for anyone interested in energy, climate and sustainability policy. |
| empirically grounded technology forecasts and the energy transition: Averting Climate Catastrophe Together Martin Zapf, 2022-09-20 Humanity has so far failed to respect some essential compatibility limits to ensure sustainable development. Is it possible to change the course? This book revolves around this question, focusing on climate change. Averting Climate Catastrophe Together addresses the necessity of meeting the Paris Agreement temperature target and explores what framework could enable climate action in an effective, efficient and equitable manner that is consistent with that goal. It also looks at the contribution of technological change within the economic system, including the feasibility of a global energy transition. Whether humanity can avoid catastrophic climate change appears to depend not on the availability of technological solutions, but rather on international cooperation and coordination. Given the various sustainability issues, this book also discusses whether it is possible to derive a general approach to them. It argues that dealing with compatibility limits in complex systems requires a holistic change in the system structure. Therefore, systems science is discussed together with economics, technological change, and sustainable development. This book targets scientists and experts from different disciplines due to the interdisciplinary topic, but especially from environmental economics and energy technology; policy makers, as policy recommendations are provided to address climate change; as well as the general public due to the pressing common challenge of addressing climate change and comprehensive efforts for sustainable development. Provides evidence based on climate science research on the necessity of meeting the Paris Agreement temperature target Highlights the feasibility of the global energy transition as one major option to mitigate climate change, also going into detail about the process of technological change Brings together systems science with economics, technological change, and sustainable development Derives a framework to meet the Paris Agreement temperature target, enabling coordinated climate action in an effective and efficient manner while pursuing distributive justice |
| empirically grounded technology forecasts and the energy transition: Research Handbook on Sustainability and Competition Law Julian Nowag, 2024-07-05 This is an open access title available under the terms of a CC BY-NC-ND 4.0 License. It is free to read, download and share on Elgaronline.com. This Research Handbook explores the complex interplay between competition law and sustainability, and also provides key insights into the role and limitations that tax, environmental laws, consumer laws, and social laws have in promoting sustainability. A distinguished array of international experts examine core principles of environmental and social sustainability, delve into the economic dynamics that shape this multidimensional relationship, and critically analyse how competition law and policy can both positively and negatively shape sustainability outcomes. |
| empirically grounded technology forecasts and the energy transition: Technopolitcs Constantino Pereira Martins (Ed.), 2024-09-24 Technopolitics is a follow-up book that intends to depart and expand the concept of Cyberpolitics to all the dimensions and effects of technology in our lives but placing politics at the center of debate and thought. Most investigations in the fields of Humanities have highlighted the impact of digitization and social virtualization and mapped the transition from the Industrial Revolution, and mass disciplinary society, to the digital revolution, telework and social atomism. The fusion of disruptive technologies is changing the fundamentals of our world almost roaming on its own towards a near future with unprecedented and unpredictable outcomes. This new technological reason implies a rupture and a paradigm shift in the radical transition from an instrumental reason (auxiliary) to an autonomous reason (essential). This means the impossibility of further sustaining the illusion of technological neutrality. Science, culture and technology appear to be merging and in combat simultaneously. And all fields of knowledge are alert to a main idea: how deep is technology shaping our societies and politics? Regardless of the outcome, an age of instability is also an age of challenges. In our era of uncertainty, and while our civilization moves forward toward a hyper-technological future, we should not forget to discuss and reflect on the values and ethics we would like to survive the ruin of time and to pass on to the next generations. |
| empirically grounded technology forecasts and the energy transition: Making Sense of Chaos J Doyne Farmer, 2024-08-06 From a pioneer in the field of complexity science and chaos theory, a plan for solving the world's most pressing problems Farmer convincingly argues that by using big data and today's more powerful computers, we can build more realistic models and simulations of the global economy. . . . Farmer's vision will undoubtedly be significant in how economics evolves.--Tej Parikh, Financial Times, Best New Books on Economics Both a manifesto for a revolution in economics and a memoir of an unusual career.--Ed Ballard, Wall Street Journal We live in an age of increasing complexity--an era of accelerating technology and global interconnection that holds more promise, and more peril, than any other time in human history. The fossil fuels that have powered global wealth creation now threaten to destroy the world they helped build. Automation and digitization promise prosperity for some, unemployment for others. Financial crises fuel growing inequality, polarization, and the retreat of democracy. At heart, all these problems are rooted in the economy, yet the guidance provided by economic models has often failed. Many books have been written about J. Doyne Farmer and his work, but this is the first in his own words. It presents a manifesto for how to do economics better. In this tale of science and ideas, Farmer fuses his profound knowledge and expertise with stories from his life to explain how we can bring a scientific revolution to bear on the economic conundrums facing society. Using big data and ever more powerful computers, we are now able for the first time to apply complex systems science to economic activity, building realistic models of the global economy. The resulting simulations and the emergent behavior we observe form the cornerstone of the science of complexity economics, allowing us to test ideas and make significantly better economic predictions--to better address the hard problems facing the world. |
| empirically grounded technology forecasts and the energy transition: Critical Materials and Sustainability Transition Arda Işıldar, Eric D. van Hullebusch, Donald Huisingh, 2023-12-21 Critical minerals play a vital role in the ongoing energy transition, which aims to shift global energy systems towards more sustainable and low-carbon alternatives. These minerals, also known as critical minerals, are essential components in various clean energy technologies such as wind turbines, solar panels, electric vehicles, and energy storage systems. They possess unique properties that enable efficient energy generation, storage, and transmission. For instance, neodymium, a rare earth element, is crucial for the production of high-performance magnets used in wind turbines and electric motors. Lithium, another critical mineral, is a key component in rechargeable batteries powering electric vehicles and energy storage solutions. As the demand for clean energy technologies continues to rise, securing a sustainable and reliable supply of critical minerals becomes increasingly important to support the global energy transition and reduce dependence on fossil fuels. In this book, we investigate various aspects of critical mineral governance in the context of sustainability transition. We give perspectives around the critical metal requirements of sustainability transition in a forward-looking manner. We discuss the answers to the following questions: What role do the critical raw materials play in the transition to a sustainable economy and energy systems transformation? What are the bottlenecks in achieving a sustainable critical material supply? How do the critical minerals enable renewable energy transition and sustainable development? What is their role in the sustainability transition? How is mineral criticality assessed? And how critical are minerals? What are some regional differences in terms of critical mineral availability, processing capacity, and the supply chain? What strategy should be followed in deciding between primary raw materials and secondary raw materials in supplying critical raw materials for the transition to a sustainable economy? What is the (known) critical material budget, and how does it fit with the climate pledges? The authors of the chapters of this book take a multi-perspective approach and provide insights from industrial ecology, environmental engineering, and sustainable management of natural resources. The information provided will help readers to understand critical metal requirements of present and future key technologies and will help societies to develop and implement sustainable supply strategies. |
| empirically grounded technology forecasts and the energy transition: The Great Carbon Arbitrage Mr. Tobias Adrian, Mr. Patrick Bolton, Alissa M. Kleinnijenhuis, 2022-06 We measure the gains from phasing out coal as the social cost of carbon times the quantity of avoided emissions. By comparing the present value of the benefits from avoided emissions against the present value of costs of ending coal plus the costs of replacing it with renewable energy, our baseline estimate is that the world can realize a net gain of 77.89 trillion USD. This represents around 1.2% of current world GDP every year until 2100. The net benefits from ending coal are so large that renewed efforts, carbon pricing, and other financing policies we discuss, should be pursued. |
| empirically grounded technology forecasts and the energy transition: Overshoot Andreas Malm, Wim Carton, 2024-10-01 The world is on the cusp of one and a half degrees of warming - just the rise it has committed itself to avoiding. Heat at such levels would be intolerable. Even before one and a half, seasons of climate disaster have struck with ever more devastating force, and yet a notion has taken hold that the cause is now lost: the intolerable has become unavoidable. The limit will be overshot - perhaps two degrees as well - and the best we can do is cool down the Earth at some later point, towards the end of the century, by means of technologies not yet proven. How did this happen? How could the idea of overshoot gain such traction? What forces are driving us into a climate that people - particularly poor people in the global South - won't be able to cope with? In Overshoot: How the World Surrendered to Climate Breakdown, Andreas Malm and Wim Carton present a history of the present phase of the crisis, likely to extend decades into the future, as the fossil fuel industry swims in the largest profits ever made. Money continues to flow into the construction of pipelines, platforms, terminals, mines - assets that will have to be destroyed for the planet to remain liveable. Too much heat has become officially acceptable because such revolutionary destruction is not. But should the rest of us abide by that priority? Unflinchingly critical of business-as-usual and the calls for surrender to it, sweeping in scope, stirring and sobering, Overshoot lays out the stakes for the climate struggle in the years ahead. |
| empirically grounded technology forecasts and the energy transition: The Future of Energy Richard Black, 2024-08-06 How will the world produce more, cleaner energy? Climate communications expert Richard Black sets out a vision for the future which could benefit us all. Coal, oil and gas provide four-fifths of the energy that powers our modern world. But continuing to burn them will mean wrecking the only planet we have. Is there a way out? In The Future of Energy, journalist and analyst Richard Black argues that there is, and that the transition to a clean energy world is already underway. He shows that with just five key technologies we can replace the burning of fossil fuels almost entirely, as quickly as society decides. Doing so will do much more than halt climate change. The transition will bring cheaper energy, cleaner air, and more jobs. It will remove some of the factors behind oppression, injustice, and conflict. And it is supported by an overwhelming majority of the world’s population. This may not be the story of energy that you hear most about from politicians, business leaders and journalists, but it is the one that matters. |
| empirically grounded technology forecasts and the energy transition: A Just Energy Transition Ed Atkins, 2023-07-28 To reduce emissions and address climate change, we need to invest in renewables and rapidly decarbonise our energy networks. However, decarbonisation is often seen as a technical project, detached from questions of politics and social justice. What if this is leading to unfair transitions, in which some people bear the costs of change while others benefit? In this timely and expansive book, Ed Atkins asks: are we getting decarbonisation right? And how could it be made better for people and communities? In doing so, this book proposes a different type of energy transition. One that prioritises and takes opportunities to do better – to provide better jobs, community ownership and improve people’s homes and lives. |
| empirically grounded technology forecasts and the energy transition: OECD Employment Outlook 2024 The Net-Zero Transition and the Labour Market OECD, 2024-07-09 The transition to net-zero emissions by 2050 will have profound impacts on the labour market and the jobs of millions of workers. Aggregate effects on employment are estimated to be limited. But many jobs will be lost in the shrinking high-emission industries, while many others will be created in the expanding low-emission activities. This edition of the OECD Employment Outlook examines the characteristics of the jobs that are likely to thrive because of the transition (“green-driven jobs”), including their attractiveness in terms of job quality, and compares them to jobs in high-emission industries that tend to shrink. The cost of job displacement in these latter industries is assessed along with the trajectories of workers out of them towards new opportunities, and the labour market policies that can facilitate job reallocation. Particular attention is devoted to upskilling and reskilling strategies to facilitate workers’ transition into fast-growing, green-driven occupations. The distributive impacts of climate-change mitigation policies are also examined, with a focus on carbon pricing and options to redistribute its tax revenue to those most impacted. As usual, the first chapter of the Outlook assesses recent labour market developments (including wage trends), but also provides an update of the OECD Job Quality indicators. |
| empirically grounded technology forecasts and the energy transition: Cross-Border Risks of a Global Economy in Mid-Transition Etienne Espagne, William Oman, Jean-François Mercure, Romain Svartzman, Ulrich Volz, Hector Pollitt, Gregor Semieniuk, Emanuele Campiglio, 2023-09-08 This paper analyzes the cross-border risks that could result from a decarbonization of the world economy. We develop a typology of cross-border risks and their respective channels. Our qualitative and quantitative scenario analysis suggests that the mid-transition – a period during which fossil-fuel and low-carbon energy systems co-exist and transform at a rapid pace – could have profound stability and resilience implications for global trade and the international financial system. |
| empirically grounded technology forecasts and the energy transition: The Economics of Decarbonizing Electricity Production Gregor Schwerhoff, 2024-10-04 Electricity production is the sector with the largest share of global emissions and there are many options for decarbonizing it. Identifying the lowest cost option for achieving decarbonization (and full reliability) is a complex optimization problem at the intersection of economics and engineering. Key determinants are the cost of individual technologies, the geographical potential, the complementarities between energy sources and supporting infrastructure like electricity grids and energy storage. This paper reviews the literature on the subject and draws high-level conclusions from the abundance of specialized analyses. It finds that energy-economy models have strongly changed projections of the optimal electricity mix in recent years. While the models differ in detail, models project that the share of renewable energy, mostly solar and wind power, increases steadily in a “below 2°C” scenario and becomes the dominant source of energy by 2050. An electricity system based on solar and wind power can use flexibility options as a complement instead of baseload energy. Models vary by the degree to which renewable energy is supported by carbon capture and storage, bioenergy, and nuclear energy. |
| empirically grounded technology forecasts and the energy transition: Proven Climate Solutions BF Nagy, 2024-06-18 Fifteen climate experts combine forces to present a plan for slowing and ultimately preventing further destruction to our planet. As governments and businesses continue to set climate goals for reducing carbon emissions and slowing global warming, scientists, engineers, and policymakers are using cutting-edge research to introduce new climate technologies and strategies for achieving and potentially surpassing these goals. Presented by world-leading climate scientists and futurists, Proven Climate Solutions offers a dynamic, evidence-based action plan that uncovers the hard work, dedication, and best practices of climate heroes who are accelerating change and winning the battle to protect our environment. BF Nagy along with Bill McKibben, Mark Jacobson, Robert Howarth, Nancy Ryan, and ten other top climate leaders have synthesized a clear pathway for a rapid energy transition ramp-up. This includes game-changing climate emergency solutions and governing policies to supercharge deployment and finally retire old, obsolete systems and tired ideas. The essays included cover a wide range of environmental innovations from renewables and batteries to water technologies and biodiversity and much more, highlighting the strengths, weaknesses, and roles to be played by new technologies and offering readers encouragement for a climate-friendly future. It is long past time to halt the nonsense and destruction, instead embracing the crucial changes and bold actions needed to create an equitable, affordable, and healthy world for our children. This definitive guide provides the facts on proven, practical solutions now being deployed, and how these solutions can be accelerated to save our planet before it's too late. |
| empirically grounded technology forecasts and the energy transition: Achieving the United Nations Sustainable Development Goals John Ure, 2024-10-15 Cutting through the huge volume of literature for each of the SDGs as 2030 closes in, this immensely readable primer makes sense of the state of play for some of the most pressing existential questions of our time. |
| empirically grounded technology forecasts and the energy transition: Reality Check The World Bank, 2023-10-17 To address the myriad challenges posed by global climate change, countries at all income levels have put in place a diverse set of policies over the past three decades. Many governments have already made significant progress in their efforts to decarbonize, creating a rich history of implementation experiences that provides important lessons for how to successfully advance climate policy goals in a variety of different economic, cultural, and political contexts. Despite this progress, the transition to a net zero future continues to face significant barriers, including the need for large investment, a lack of institutional capacity, and challenging political economy issues. Reality Check: Lessons from 25 Policies Advancing a Low-Carbon Future identifies key policy approaches that countries are taking to decarbonize their economies. The report classifies policies into five categories: • Planning for a future with zero net emissions • Getting the pricing and taxes right • Facilitating and triggering transitions in key systems, such as energy and food • Getting the finance flowing, particularly by incentivizing private sector investment • Ensuring a just transition that protects the poor. Reality Check: Lessons from 25 Policies Advancing a Low-Carbon Future fills a critical research gap by documenting low-carbon policy trends and providing a series of case studies across sectors and geographies. The 25 case studies furnish country contexts and policy details, examine results and impacts, and outline key takeaways and lessons learned for enabling further ambition in achieving emissions reductions. The report contributes to an evolving analytical agenda on how to reduce carbon emissions while achieving economic development and the strategic transition to a greener, more resilient, and more inclusive future. |
| empirically grounded technology forecasts and the energy transition: Responsible Artificial Intelligence Re-engineering the Global Public Health Ecosystem Dominique J Monlezun, 2024-06-07 Artificial intelligence Re-Engineering the Global Public Health Ecosystem: A Humanity Worth Saving provides a unifying strategic vision (and principles and examples operationalizing it) for the AI-accelerated effective, efficient, and equitable global public health of the future. Readers will find an ecosystem-based approach to understanding how AI is transforming and globalizing public health (and thus our underlying political economics, contextualized in our diverse cultures). The book integrates data architecture, digital health ecosystem, algorithms (including machine and deep learning and artificial general intelligence), quantum computing, global disease surveillance, adaptive value supply chains, demographic shifts, integral development, network science, health financing, healthcare system design, and multicultural global ethics underlying diverse political economic systems in a clear and concrete way forward together, within a divided but digitized and globalized world. Written by the world's first triple doctorate-trained physician-data scientist and AI ethicist, this book is a compelling and coherent guide to help empower and equip AI developers, students, practitioners, policymakers, researchers, and leaders in digital technology, public health, healthcare, health policy, public policy, political science, economics, and ethics to generate the healthcare solutions that will define humanity's next era. - Details the first comprehensive ecosystem analysis of global public health revolutionized by AI. - Uses concrete examples to explain the dominant players and trends determining health's future, including through data architecture, financing, political economics, demographics, security, and multicultural ethics. - Provides a successful full-spectrum formula for governments, institutions, companies, and communities to scale equitable health globally while respecting local identities and values. |
| empirically grounded technology forecasts and the energy transition: Is the Paris Agreement Working? A Stocktake of Global Climate Mitigation Mr. Simon Black, Ian W.H. Parry, Karlygash Zhunussova, 2023-11-21 Urgent and aggressive action to cut greenhouse gas emissions this decade is needed. As countries take stock of the Paris Agreement, this Note provides IMF staff’s annual assessment of global climate mitigation policy. Global ambition needs to be more than quadrupled: emissions cuts of 50 percent below 2019 levels by 2030 are needed for 1.5 degrees Celsius, but current targets would only achieve 11 percent. We provide options for ratcheting-up ambition equitably. Implementation could be accelerated via agreements on minimum carbon prices. Drastic increases in mitigation investment are needed, requiring policies to shift private sector incentives. Climate finance should be scaled-up, with a new goal aligned with needs in developing countries. The development and diffusion of low-carbon technologies should be accelerated collaboratively. Overall, the Paris Agreement is making progress, but a response to the Global Stocktake that prioritizes decisive action this decade is critical. |
| empirically grounded technology forecasts and the energy transition: Following the Money: Who is Keeping Coal Alive? Gregor Schwerhoff, Mouhamadou Sy, 2024-11 The 2023 United Nations Climate Change Conference reinforced already existing pressure to transition away from fossil fuels, in particular for the most polluting source, coal. We use a comprehensive dataset on bank loans for coal projects to shed light on which type of banks continue to finance coal and how coal phase-out commitments affect coal financing. We find that coal financing is becoming increasingly concentrated, partly in banks with a very high coal exposure. We also find that many coal loans have maturities much shorter than the remaining lifetime of coal assets, thus exposing equity holders of coal assets to the risk of a more difficult loan rollover. An econometric analysis shows that countries with a strong commitment to coal phase-out, fixed in national law for example, receive less coal financing. Using an instrumental variable, we identify this effect as causal. |
| empirically grounded technology forecasts and the energy transition: The Human Planet Simon L. Lewis, Mark A. Maslin, 2018-08-28 A remarkable exploration of the science, history, and politics of the Anthropocene, one of the most important scientific ideas of our time, from two world-renowned experts Meteorites, mega-volcanoes, and plate tectonics—the old forces of nature—have transformed Earth for millions of years. They are now joined by a new geological force—humans. Our actions have driven Earth into a new geological epoch, the Anthropocene. For the first time in our home planet's 4.5-billion-year history a single species is increasingly dictating Earth's future. To some the Anthropocene symbolizes a future of superlative control of our environment. To others it is the height of hubris, the illusion of our mastery over nature. Whatever your view, just below the surface of this odd-sounding scientific word, the Anthropocene, is a heady mix of science, philosophy, and politics linked to our deepest fears and utopian visions. Tracing our environmental impacts through time, scientists Simon Lewis and Mark Maslin reveal a new view of human history and a new outlook for the future of humanity in the unstable world we have created. |
| empirically grounded technology forecasts and the energy transition: The Green Frontier: Assessing the Economic Implications of Climate Action JEAN PISANI-FERRY, ADAM S. POSEN, 2024-06-03 Addressing climate change will entail major challenges for economic growth, employment, inflation, and public finances. Mitigating the impact of global warming will yield benefits and costs that are yet to be quantified and defined for the global economy and for nations, workers, households, and companies. The Green Frontier: Assessing the Economic Implications of Climate Action offers research originally presented at a major conference at the Peterson Institute for International Economics in June 2023 in Washington, DC, organized to shed light on this still unexplored field of study and recommend policies for the future. |
| empirically grounded technology forecasts and the energy transition: The Earth Transformed Peter Frankopan, 2023-04-18 A NEW YORKER BEST BOOK OF THE YEAR • A revolutionary new history that reveals how climate change has dramatically shaped the development—and demise—of civilizations across time *The ebook edition now includes endnotes. Anyone who purchased the book previously can re-download this updated edition and access the notes.* Global warming is one of the greatest dangers mankind faces today. Even as temperatures increase, sea levels rise, and natural disasters escalate, our current environmental crisis feels difficult to predict and understand. But climate change and its effects on us are not new. In a bold narrative that spans centuries and continents, Peter Frankopan argues that nature has always played a fundamental role in the writing of history. From the fall of the Moche civilization in South America that came about because of the cyclical pressures of El Niño to volcanic eruptions in Iceland that affected Egypt and helped bring the Ottoman empire to its knees, climate change and its influences have always been with us. Frankopan explains how the Vikings emerged thanks to catastrophic crop failure, why the roots of regime change in eleventh-century Baghdad lay in the collapse of cotton prices resulting from unusual climate patterns, and why the western expansion of the frontiers in North America was directly affected by solar flare activity in the eighteenth century. Again and again, Frankopan shows that when past empires have failed to act sustainably, they have been met with catastrophe. Blending brilliant historical writing and cutting-edge scientific research, The Earth Transformed will radically reframe the way we look at the world and our future. |
| empirically grounded technology forecasts and the energy transition: A Field Guide to Climate Change Adam Briggle, 2024-05-02 This book is a guide for understanding climate change. It takes an interdisciplinary approach because climate change is simultaneously a matter of science, engineering, economics, politics, culture, ethics, and more. A Field Guide to Climate Change thus follows the contours of climate change as it appears in the world—as a tangle of problems. Briggle presents climate literacy as a form of problem-posing by offering a set of tools for understanding how problems get framed, debated, and resolved. Through developing climate literacy, students gain the ability to think critically about how facts are constructed and mobilized in the pursuit of values. |
| empirically grounded technology forecasts and the energy transition: Justice in Climate Policy Annick de Vries, |
| empirically grounded technology forecasts and the energy transition: Our Uncertain World Leslie Sawin, 2023-12-20 We live in times of uncertainty and anxiety. In these times, how can we best navigate our unknowns? Our Uncertain World answers that question through a Jungian prism. Carl Jung’s theory has helped many people through difficult times. Jungian perspectives facilitate such challenging navigation by not simplifying complexity but rather by finding the meaningful through-lines that guide the individual toward individuation even in the darkest of times. Using Jung’s unique multi-dimensional approach, this book offers insights and provides answers to questions about life in a state of three-dimensional flux. Our Uncertain World was born from the premise that we are in a period of ongoing change. The interlocking crises of COVID, national polarization, environmental disaster, and international war can undermine or even destroy the symbols, rituals, and mental structures that give meaning and coherence to our lives. These crises are explored in depth In the book’s three sections, Living with Personal Uncertainty over the Long Term, Social Turmoil: A Moment of Social change for Our Community and Our Nation, and Challenges Facing Our World: Grappling with the Environment, The Pandemic and War. The authors of this book accompany the reader through the current challenges we face and examine new ways of adjusting to the existing condition of protracted uncertainty. The book encourages the reader to articulate their own challenges and develop their own language to write, speak, and live within the reality of uncertain times. Our Uncertain World provides tools for individuals and groups to formulate new perspectives and life strategies for the current reality. |
| empirically grounded technology forecasts and the energy transition: Mini Grid Solutions for Underserved Customers Bernard Tenenbaum, Chris Greacen, Ashish Shrestha, 2024-03-06 TRaditionally, mini grids have been viewed as “off-grid†? systems that are built and operated solely for communities without electricity. The reality, however, is that millions of people in Sub-Saharan Africa and India who are connected to the main grid suffer from poor grid reliability (“weak grid†?), sometimes with a power supply of less than 4 to 8 hours daily and with frequent disputes over the accuracy of billing. As a backstop, these poorly served customers often find themselves forced to rely on small fossil fuel†“powered generators that are noisy, polluting, and expensive to operate. Mini Grid Solutions for Underserved Customers: New Insights from Nigeria and India explores another option: undergrid mini grids. These are mostly solar hybrid†“powered mini grids built and operated by private companies in areas already connected with the main electricity grid but facing poor technical and commercial service. This comprehensive book examines how undergrid mini grids can create win-win-win outcomes for retail customers, distribution enterprises, and mini grid developers. Drawing on extensive discussions with pioneering developers, the book showcases detailed case studies from Nigeria and India, shedding light on the challenges and opportunities of interconnected and non-interconnected undergrid mini grids. The authors address technical issues of grid interconnection and delve into the policy and regulatory considerations crucial for the financial sustainability and success of undergrid mini grids. The book is an invaluable resource for policy makers, energy practitioners, and researchers seeking practical insights to bridge the electricity access gap, empower communities with reliable and affordable electricity, and drive environmentally and commercially sustainable development. • “The report is rich with insight, not least because the authors have been able to contrast the Nigeria and India approaches taken by the respective private sectors in each country. The five case studies are very valuable. The authors have powerfully illustrated the importance of the policy and regulatory framework and how that translates into investor behavior.†? — Mohua Mukherjee, Senior Research Fellow, Oxford Institute of Energy Studies • “This great report represents a pivotal turning point in the history of energy and has global implications for the role of mini grids for communities that have been poorly served by main grid utilities.†? — Peter Lilienthal, Founder HOMER Energy • “This is a tremendous addition to the literature on mini grids and an important guide for all of us practitioners working in this area.†? — James Sherwood, Director of Research & Innovation, RMI | Global South Program • “This refreshingly honest and open report provides an excellent overview of interconnected and isolated mini grids, as well as a thorough analysis of key ground-level implementation issues in regulation, business, and engineering.†? — Joanis Holzigel, Chief Operating Officer, INENSUS |
| empirically grounded technology forecasts and the energy transition: Handbook on Climate Change and Technology Frauke Urban, Johan Nordensvärd, 2023-12-11 This timely Handbook presents the latest knowledge on technological innovation for climate change mitigation and adaptation. Looking beyond technical fixes, it further draws on economics, politics and sociology to explore how modern technology can contribute to effective and socially just sustainability transitions. |
| empirically grounded technology forecasts and the energy transition: Climate Policy Diffusion Across US States Ms. Mitali Das, Manuel Linsenmeier, Gregor Schwerhoff, 2024-09-13 Climate policy at the subnational level is sometimes framed as being counterproductive, because climate change is considered a collective action problem that can be best addressed in a coalition that should be as large as possible. Using comprehensive data from US states on climate policy and policy outcomes, we show that state-level policy is effective in accelerating the adoption of solar energy. Crucially, however, state policies also have positive spillovers to other states, by making it more likely that neighboring states adopt climate policy as well. By proportionally attributing the spillover effects, we find that many US states achieve more climate benefits through the spillovers to other states than within their own jurisdiction. In a further step, we distinguish between climate policies in the energy sector and policies addressed either at other sectors or greenhouse gas emission (GHG) reductions generally. We find that climate policies in the energy sector are distinct from other climate policies in two ways: They have a significant effect on solar capacity growth and they diffuse more broadly. |
| empirically grounded technology forecasts and the energy transition: Women in Renewable Energy Katherine T. Wang, Jill S. Tietjen, 2023-06-15 This book provides a breadth and depth of innovative and impactful research led by women investigators in the field of renewable energy. This book showcases the diversity of renewable energy solutions being deployed commercially in the United States and internationally, including new research underway. The chapters collectively cover the entire spectrum of large, utility scale to small, distributed-scale renewable energy technologies, as well as new operating practices in buildings necessary to fully capture the value of renewable energy. The chapters also discuss technical and market considerations of renewable energy resources, plus customer attitudes and acceptance. These topics touch on many of the challenges facing the world today and these solutions by women researchers are valuable for their technical excellence and their non-traditional perspective. |
| empirically grounded technology forecasts and the energy transition: Risk and Resilience in the Era of Climate Change Vinod Thomas, |
| empirically grounded technology forecasts and the energy transition: OECD Fiscal Federalism Studies Bricks, Taxes and Spending Solutions for Housing Equity across Levels of Government OECD, Korea Institute of Public Finance, 2023-10-26 This report addresses housing inequities through a series of analytical chapters and case studies. The cross-country chapters examine the effects of the COVID-19 pandemic on housing demand, develop a proposal for a green land value tax, evaluate the dynamics between fiscal autonomy and housing supply responsiveness, as well as explore the drivers of inter-regional migration. |
| empirically grounded technology forecasts and the energy transition: Decision Making for the Net Zero Transformation: Considerations and New Methodological Approaches Mark Workman, Geoff Darch, Katy Roelich, Adrian Gault, Gireesh Shrimali, 2024-02-01 Special edition compiled in partnership with Frontiers sponsored by the Clean Air Task Force. The realisation of Net Zero by 2050 will require the ability for strategy developers, operational planners and decision makers to better manage uncertainty, complexity and emergence. The application of the orthodox set of decision support tools and processes that have been used to explore deep decarbonisation options to 2050 have blinded decision makers to uncertainty, complexity and emergence. Tools have often been used which are inappropriate to the types of decisions being made – a competency which has been glaringly revealed during the C-19 Pandemic. This Frontiers Research Topic will highlight the need for an interdisciplinary, mixed methods approach bringing together insights from modelling, decision science, psychology, anthropology, and sociology to form a compendium of current best practice for decision making for the net zero transformation and new research frontiers. Develop greater awareness amongst policymakers, practitioners and academics as to the importance of: • Understanding the nature of uncertainty when dealing with problems associated with the Net Zero Energy System Transformation; • Increasing importance of deliberative processes to map different value sets beyond least cost; • Acknowledging that decision making under uncertainty requires competency-based training leading to a full appreciation of the tasks at hand. Suggested areas within scope are listed in points 1-12 below. Authors are free to choose specific areas of interest, and to combine these where useful. In general, it will be useful to consider practical application of [ideas], e.g • development of `Use Cases’ and `Decision Making Contexts’ may be useful, e.g. National Govt establishing its Carbon Budget; Institution setting up its investment portfolio. • understanding of how decisions are being made within different jurisdictions, political cultures, and types of organizations (public/private). What is the role of `Decision Context' i.e. organisational decision-making structures, cultures, the role of zeitgeist and dominant narratives, or the relation between academic expertise and policy-makers. 1. Decision making from an end-to-end perspective and the need to take a holistic and interdisciplinary perspective [Editorial Cover Article]. 2. Gap between what policy makers and decision makers around net zero climate policy seek to address and what decision support tools can actually do. Why that gap is increasing (if it is)? 3. Understanding the nature of uncertainty when applying the relevant decision support tool and processes. Not all uncertainty can be addressed within the decision support tool itself. Role of optimism bias; potential role of least worst regret approaches etc 4. What different decision support tools can inform decision makers around net zero climate policy and need for a basket of tools. 5. Why parametric decision support tools and models are pre-eminent - the role of consolidative modelling and exploratory modelling. The inertia of modelling approaches: why it is so hard to break modelling paradigms? 6. What decision science informs us about how decisions are actually made - the importance of process, the role of transparency and deliberation with analysis. 7. Processes that address the biases identified in decision science and impact of identity politics on deliberative decision making. 8. Why decision making under deep uncertainty requires competency-based training, deep subject matter expertise and systemic knowledge. 9. Ministerial and policy making and the decision support requirements: US, EU, UK & China 10. The role of narratives and how uncertainty can be communicated to societal audiences. Storylines and other narrative approaches 11. How to develop participatory approaches allow multiple values, diversity of stakeholders in which climate communication and decision making exists in an iterative exchange with policy. We have started the journey e.g. the role of climate assemblies… what next? 12. Decision making under deep (climate) uncertainty by the financial sector We acknowledge the funding of the manuscripts published in this Research Topic by the Clean Air Task Force. We hereby state publicly that the Clean Air Task Force has had no editorial input in articles included in this Research Topic, thus ensuring that all aspects of this Research Topic are evaluated objectively, unbiased by any specific policy or opinion of the Clean Air Task Force. |
| empirically grounded technology forecasts and the energy transition: Routledge International Handbook of Complexity Economics Ping Chen, Wolfram Elsner, Andreas Pyka, 2024-11-29 The Routledge International Handbook of Complexity Economics covers the historical developments and early concerns of complexity theorists and brings them into engagement with the world today. In this volume, a distinguished group of international scholars explore the state of the art of complexity economics, and how it may deliver new and relevant insights to the challenges of the 21st century. Complexity science started in 1899 when Henri Poincaré described the three-body problem. The first approaches in economics emerged somewhat later, in the 1980s, driven by the Brussels-Austin school. Since then, complexity economics has gone through numerous developments: departing from linear simplifications, applying physical algorithms, to evolutionary economics and big data. This book covers the basic principles and methods, and offers an overview of the various domains—ranging from diverse fields of productivity studies, agricultural economics, to monetary economics—as well as the current challenges such as climate change, epidemics and economic inequality where complexity economics can provide insight. It closes with a review of complexity political economy and policy. Offering a vibrant alternative to orthodox economics, this handbook is a crucial resource for advanced students, researchers and economists across the disciplines of heterodox economics, economic theory and econophysics. |
| empirically grounded technology forecasts and the energy transition: Global Energy Politics Thijs Van de Graaf, Benjamin K. Sovacool, 2020-05-07 Ever since the Industrial Revolution energy has been a key driver of world politics. From the oil crises of the 1970s to today’s rapid expansion of renewable energy sources, every shift in global energy patterns has important repercussions for international relations. In this new book, Thijs Van de Graaf and Benjamin Sovacool uncover the intricate ways in which our energy systems have shaped global outcomes in four key areas of world politics: security, the economy, the environment and global justice. Moving beyond the narrow geopolitical focus that has dominated much of the discussion on global energy politics, they also deftly trace the connections between energy, environmental politics, and community activism. The authors argue that we are on the cusp of a global energy shift that promises to be no less transformative for the pursuit of wealth and power in world politics than the historical shifts from wood to coal and from coal to oil. This ongoing energy transformation will not only upend the global balance of power; it could also fundamentally transfer political authority away from the nation state, empowering citizens, regions and local communities. Global Energy Politics will be an essential resource for students of the social sciences grappling with the major energy issues of our times. |
| empirically grounded technology forecasts and the energy transition: Der Klimawandel für Einsteiger Tino Eberl, 2023-03-18 Seit den 1990er Jahren schreitet der Klimawandel schnell voran und immer mehr Stimmen warnen eindringlich vor den Folgen. Kinder und Jugendliche lernen heutzutage die Grundlagen in der Schule. Ihre Zukunft treibt sie zum Protest auf die Straße. Doch viele Eltern oder Großeltern haben ihren Schulabschluss aus Zeiten, in denen der Klimawandel noch kein Unterrichtsthema war. Auch beruflich hat längst nicht jeder Erwachsene damit Berührung. Was also tun, wenn man mitreden möchte, aber die Grundlagen nicht kennt? Dieses Buch wendet sich an interessierte Erwachsene, die sich kompakt informieren möchten und denen schlicht die Zeit für eigene Recherchen fehlt. Das Hintergrundwissen soll Ihnen helfen, sich an Gesprächen im persönlichen Umfeld mit Kindern, Freunden, Kollegen oder Bekannten zur Klimakrise, ihren Konsequenzen und erforderlichen Gegenmaßnahmen beteiligen zu können. Das Buch erklärt Ihnen die wichtigsten sogenannten Kippelemente des Erdklimasystems. An Beispielen wird der Einfluss des Klimawandels auf Deutschland beleuchtet. Wir gehen den Fragen nach: Wo finde ich aktuelle Informationen zum Klimawandel? Bin ich vom Klimawandel in meiner Region gefährdet? Wie könnte ich meine Risiken ermitteln und mich und die Familie vorbereiten? Zum leichten Verständnis ohne Formeln, ohne komplizierte Fachbegriffe und ohne Berge von Abkürzungen. |
| empirically grounded technology forecasts and the energy transition: Hyvästit kapitalismille Ulrike Herrmann, 2024-03-05 Tulevaisuuden talousjärjestelmä. Jatkuva talouskasvu on mahdotonta, kun maapallon ilmastoa on väistämättä suojeltava. Miten tulevaisuuden maailmassa siis eletään? Kapitalismi on saanut aikaan paljon hyvää. Nykymaailmassa se ei kuitenkaan ole enää kestävä talousjärjestelmä. Ulrike Herrmann selittää yleistajuisesti, miksi ”vihreä kasvu” ei ole toimiva ratkaisu. Kasvu on sen sijaan saatava tyrehtymään. Ilmastokriisi muuttuu päivä päivältä pahemmaksi, mutta sen hillitsemiseksi ei käytännössä tapahdu juuri mitään. Tämä ei ole sattumaa – ilmastovaikutukset liittyvät keskeisesti kapitalistiseen tuotantotapaan. Vaurastumisen ja talouskasvun mahdollistavat vain teknologisten menetelmien käyttö ja niiden tarvitseman energian tuottaminen polttoaineilla. Auringon ja tuulen avulla tuotettua vihreää energiaa ei koskaan saada riittävästi koko maailman vaurastumisen tarpeisiin. Niinpä teollistuneiden maiden on hyvästeltävä kapitalismi ja siirryttävä kiertotalouteen, jossa kulutamme vain sen verran kuin pystymme kierrättämään. Miten tämä siirtymä voidaan toteuttaa taloutta romahduttamatta? Saksassa bestselleriksi noussut kirja viitoittaa tietä kapitalismin ansasta vapautumiseen liberaalia demokratiaa vaurioittamatta. Talousasiantuntija ja tietokirjailija Ulrike Herrmann aloitti uransa pankkialalla, opiskeli historiaa ja filosofiaa Berliinin vapaassa yliopistossa ja valmistui journalistiksi maineikkaasta hampurilaisesta Henri Nannen -toimittajakoulusta. Vuodesta 2000 lähtien hän on toiminut Die Tageszeitungin palveluksessa ja kirjoittanut sosiaali- ja talouspoliittisista aiheista. Ennen Hyvästit kapitalismille -teosta Herrmann on julkaissut neljä kirjaa, joista suomeksi on ilmestynyt Pääoman voitto. Kasvun, rahan ja kriisien historia. |
| empirically grounded technology forecasts and the energy transition: The Geopolitics of the Global Energy Transition Manfred Hafner, Simone Tagliapietra, 2020-06-09 The world is currently undergoing an historic energy transition, driven by increasingly stringent decarbonisation policies and rapid advances in low-carbon technologies. The large-scale shift to low-carbon energy is disrupting the global energy system, impacting whole economies, and changing the political dynamics within and between countries. This open access book, written by leading energy scholars, examines the economic and geopolitical implications of the global energy transition, from both regional and thematic perspectives. The first part of the book addresses the geopolitical implications in the world’s main energy-producing and energy-consuming regions, while the second presents in-depth case studies on selected issues, ranging from the geopolitics of renewable energy, to the mineral foundations of the global energy transformation, to governance issues in connection with the changing global energy order. Given its scope, the book will appeal to researchers in energy, climate change and international relations, as well as to professionals working in the energy industry. |
EMPIRICALLY Definition & Meaning - Merriam-Webster
The meaning of EMPIRICALLY is in an empirical manner : with a basis in or reliance on information obtained through observation, experiment, or experience. How to use empirically in a sentence.
EMPIRICALLY | English meaning - Cambridge Dictionary
EMPIRICALLY definition: 1. in a way that is based on what is experienced or seen rather than on theory: 2. in a way that…. Learn more.
EMPIRICALLY Definition & Meaning - Dictionary.com
Empirically definition: in a way that is based on or guided by experience or experiment.. See examples of EMPIRICALLY used in a sentence.
EMPIRICAL definition and meaning | Collins English Dictionary
Empirical evidence or study relies on practical experience rather than theories. There is no empirical evidence to support his thesis. ...empirically based research. They approached this part of their …
Empirically - definition of empirically by The Free Dictionary
Relying on or derived from observation or experiment: empirical results that supported the hypothesis. b. Verifiable or provable by means of observation or experiment: empirical laws. 2. …
empirically adverb - Definition, pictures, pronunciation and usage ...
in a way that is based on experiments or experience rather than ideas or theories. Such claims need to be tested empirically. Definition of empirically adverb in Oxford Advanced Learner's …
Empirically - Definition, Meaning & Synonyms - Vocabulary.com
Jun 8, 2025 · DISCLAIMER: These example sentences appear in various news sources and books to reflect the usage of the word ‘empirically'. Views expressed in the examples do not represent the …
What does empirically mean? - Definitions.net
Empirically refers to information or knowledge obtained through methods based on observation, experience, or experiments rather than through theory or pure logic. It typically involves …
EMPIRICAL Definition & Meaning - Merriam-Webster
The meaning of EMPIRICAL is originating in or based on observation or experience. How to use empirical in a sentence. Empirical Has Roots in Latin and Greek.
EMPIRICAL | English meaning - Cambridge Dictionary
EMPIRICAL definition: 1. based on what is experienced or seen rather than on theory: 2. based on what is experienced or…. Learn more.
EMPIRICALLY Definition & Meaning - Merriam-Webster
The meaning of EMPIRICALLY is in an empirical manner : with a basis in or reliance on information obtained through observation, experiment, or …
EMPIRICALLY | English meaning - Cambridge Diction…
EMPIRICALLY definition: 1. in a way that is based on what is experienced or seen rather than on theory: 2. in a way …
EMPIRICALLY Definition & Meaning - Dictionary.com
Empirically definition: in a way that is based on or guided by experience or experiment.. See examples of …
EMPIRICAL definition and meaning | Collins English Dict…
Empirical evidence or study relies on practical experience rather than theories. There is no empirical evidence to support his thesis. ...empirically …
Empirically - definition of empirically by The Free Dicti…
Relying on or derived from observation or experiment: empirical results that supported the hypothesis. b. Verifiable or provable by means of observation …
