Advertisement
| financial time series data: Modeling Financial Time Series with S-PLUS Eric Zivot, Jiahui Wang, 2013-11-11 The field of financial econometrics has exploded over the last decade This book represents an integration of theory, methods, and examples using the S-PLUS statistical modeling language and the S+FinMetrics module to facilitate the practice of financial econometrics. This is the first book to show the power of S-PLUS for the analysis of time series data. It is written for researchers and practitioners in the finance industry, academic researchers in economics and finance, and advanced MBA and graduate students in economics and finance. Readers are assumed to have a basic knowledge of S-PLUS and a solid grounding in basic statistics and time series concepts. This Second Edition is updated to cover S+FinMetrics 2.0 and includes new chapters on copulas, nonlinear regime switching models, continuous-time financial models, generalized method of moments, semi-nonparametric conditional density models, and the efficient method of moments. Eric Zivot is an associate professor and Gary Waterman Distinguished Scholar in the Economics Department, and adjunct associate professor of finance in the Business School at the University of Washington. He regularly teaches courses on econometric theory, financial econometrics and time series econometrics, and is the recipient of the Henry T. Buechel Award for Outstanding Teaching. He is an associate editor of Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics and Econometrics. He has published papers in the leading econometrics journals, including Econometrica, Econometric Theory, the Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, Journal of Econometrics, and the Review of Economics and Statistics. Jiahui Wang is an employee of Ronin Capital LLC. He received a Ph.D. in Economics from the University of Washington in 1997. He has published in leading econometrics journals such as Econometrica and Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, and is the Principal Investigator of National Science Foundation SBIR grants. In 2002 Dr. Wang was selected as one of the 2000 Outstanding Scholars of the 21st Century by International Biographical Centre. |
| financial time series data: Analysis of Financial Time Series Ruey S. Tsay, 2010-10-26 This book provides a broad, mature, and systematic introduction to current financial econometric models and their applications to modeling and prediction of financial time series data. It utilizes real-world examples and real financial data throughout the book to apply the models and methods described. The author begins with basic characteristics of financial time series data before covering three main topics: Analysis and application of univariate financial time series The return series of multiple assets Bayesian inference in finance methods Key features of the new edition include additional coverage of modern day topics such as arbitrage, pair trading, realized volatility, and credit risk modeling; a smooth transition from S-Plus to R; and expanded empirical financial data sets. The overall objective of the book is to provide some knowledge of financial time series, introduce some statistical tools useful for analyzing these series and gain experience in financial applications of various econometric methods. |
| financial time series data: Analysis of Financial Time Series Ruey S. Tsay, 2005-09-15 Provides statistical tools and techniques needed to understandtoday's financial markets The Second Edition of this critically acclaimed text provides acomprehensive and systematic introduction to financial econometricmodels and their applications in modeling and predicting financialtime series data. This latest edition continues to emphasizeempirical financial data and focuses on real-world examples.Following this approach, readers will master key aspects offinancial time series, including volatility modeling, neuralnetwork applications, market microstructure and high-frequencyfinancial data, continuous-time models and Ito's Lemma, Value atRisk, multiple returns analysis, financial factor models, andeconometric modeling via computation-intensive methods. The author begins with the basic characteristics of financialtime series data, setting the foundation for the three maintopics: Analysis and application of univariate financial timeseries Return series of multiple assets Bayesian inference in finance methods This new edition is a thoroughly revised and updated text,including the addition of S-Plus® commands and illustrations.Exercises have been thoroughly updated and expanded and include themost current data, providing readers with more opportunities to putthe models and methods into practice. Among the new material addedto the text, readers will find: Consistent covariance estimation under heteroscedasticity andserial correlation Alternative approaches to volatility modeling Financial factor models State-space models Kalman filtering Estimation of stochastic diffusion models The tools provided in this text aid readers in developing adeeper understanding of financial markets through firsthandexperience in working with financial data. This is an idealtextbook for MBA students as well as a reference for researchersand professionals in business and finance. |
| financial time series data: Modelling Financial Time Series Stephen J. Taylor, 2008 This book contains several innovative models for the prices of financial assets. First published in 1986, it is a classic text in the area of financial econometrics. It presents ARCH and stochastic volatility models that are often used and cited in academic research and are applied by quantitative analysts in many banks. Another often-cited contribution of the first edition is the documentation of statistical characteristics of financial returns, which are referred to as stylized facts. This second edition takes into account the remarkable progress made by empirical researchers during the past two decades from 1986 to 2006. In the new Preface, the author summarizes this progress in two key areas: firstly, measuring, modelling and forecasting volatility; and secondly, detecting and exploiting price trends. Sample Chapter(s). Chapter 1: Introduction (1,134 KB). Contents: Features of Financial Returns; Modelling Price Volatility; Forecasting Standard Deviations; The Accuracy of Autocorrelation Estimates; Testing the Random Walk Hypothesis; Forecasting Trends in Prices; Evidence Against the Efficiency of Futures Markets; Valuing Options; Appendix: A Computer Program for Modelling Financial Time Series. Readership: Academic researchers in finance & economics; quantitative analysts. |
| financial time series data: Handbook of Financial Time Series Torben Gustav Andersen, Richard A. Davis, Jens-Peter Kreiß, Thomas V. Mikosch, 2009-04-21 The Handbook of Financial Time Series gives an up-to-date overview of the field and covers all relevant topics both from a statistical and an econometrical point of view. There are many fine contributions, and a preamble by Nobel Prize winner Robert F. Engle. |
| financial time series data: Analysis of Financial Time Series Ruey S. Tsay, 2001-11-01 Fundamental topics and new methods in time series analysis Analysis of Financial Time Series provides a comprehensive and systematic introduction to financial econometric models and their application to modeling and prediction of financial time series data. It utilizes real-world examples and real financial data throughout the book to apply the models and methods described. The author begins with basic characteristics of financial time series data before covering three main topics: analysis and application of univariate financial time series; the return series of multiple assets; and Bayesian inference in finance methods. Timely topics and recent results include: Value at Risk (VaR) High-frequency financial data analysis Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods Derivative pricing using jump diffusion with closed-form formulas VaR calculation using extreme value theory based on a non-homogeneous two-dimensional Poisson process Multivariate volatility models with time-varying correlations Ideal as a fundamental introduction to time series for MBA students or as a reference for researchers and practitioners in business and finance, Analysis of Financial Time Series offers an in-depth and up-to-date account of these vital methods. |
| financial time series data: Python for Finance Yves J. Hilpisch, 2018-12-05 The financial industry has recently adopted Python at a tremendous rate, with some of the largest investment banks and hedge funds using it to build core trading and risk management systems. Updated for Python 3, the second edition of this hands-on book helps you get started with the language, guiding developers and quantitative analysts through Python libraries and tools for building financial applications and interactive financial analytics. Using practical examples throughout the book, author Yves Hilpisch also shows you how to develop a full-fledged framework for Monte Carlo simulation-based derivatives and risk analytics, based on a large, realistic case study. Much of the book uses interactive IPython Notebooks. |
| financial time series data: Essentials of Time Series for Financial Applications Massimo Guidolin, Manuela Pedio, 2018-05-29 Essentials of Time Series for Financial Applications serves as an agile reference for upper level students and practitioners who desire a formal, easy-to-follow introduction to the most important time series methods applied in financial applications (pricing, asset management, quant strategies, and risk management). Real-life data and examples developed with EViews illustrate the links between the formal apparatus and the applications. The examples either directly exploit the tools that EViews makes available or use programs that by employing EViews implement specific topics or techniques. The book balances a formal framework with as few proofs as possible against many examples that support its central ideas. Boxes are used throughout to remind readers of technical aspects and definitions and to present examples in a compact fashion, with full details (workout files) available in an on-line appendix. The more advanced chapters provide discussion sections that refer to more advanced textbooks or detailed proofs. - Provides practical, hands-on examples in time-series econometrics - Presents a more application-oriented, less technical book on financial econometrics - Offers rigorous coverage, including technical aspects and references for the proofs, despite being an introduction - Features examples worked out in EViews (9 or higher) |
| financial time series data: Nonlinear Time Series Analysis of Economic and Financial Data Philip Rothman, 1999-01-31 Nonlinear Time Series Analysis of Economic and Financial Data provides an examination of the flourishing interest that has developed in this area over the past decade. The constant theme throughout this work is that standard linear time series tools leave unexamined and unexploited economically significant features in frequently used data sets. The book comprises original contributions written by specialists in the field, and offers a combination of both applied and methodological papers. It will be useful to both seasoned veterans of nonlinear time series analysis and those searching for an informative panoramic look at front-line developments in the area. |
| financial time series data: Analyzing Financial Data and Implementing Financial Models Using R Clifford S. Ang, 2021-06-23 This advanced undergraduate/graduate textbook teaches students in finance and economics how to use R to analyse financial data and implement financial models. It demonstrates how to take publically available data and manipulate, implement models and generate outputs typical for particular analyses. A wide spectrum of timely and practical issues in financial modelling are covered including return and risk measurement, portfolio management, option pricing and fixed income analysis. This new edition updates and expands upon the existing material providing updated examples and new chapters on equities, simulation and trading strategies, including machine learnings techniques. Select data sets are available online. |
| financial time series data: Time Series in Economics and Finance Tomas Cipra, 2020-08-31 This book presents the principles and methods for the practical analysis and prediction of economic and financial time series. It covers decomposition methods, autocorrelation methods for univariate time series, volatility and duration modeling for financial time series, and multivariate time series methods, such as cointegration and recursive state space modeling. It also includes numerous practical examples to demonstrate the theory using real-world data, as well as exercises at the end of each chapter to aid understanding. This book serves as a reference text for researchers, students and practitioners interested in time series, and can also be used for university courses on econometrics or computational finance. |
| financial time series data: Time Series Ngai Hang Chan, 2004-04-05 Elements of Financial Time Series fills a gap in the market in the area of financial time series analysis by giving both conceptual and practical illustrations. Examples and discussions in the later chapters of the book make recent developments in time series more accessible. Examples from finance are maximized as much as possible throughout the book. * Full set of exercises is displayed at the end of each chapter. * First seven chapters cover standard topics in time series at a high-intensity level. * Recent and timely developments in nonstandard time series techniques are illustrated with real finance examples in detail. * Examples are systemically illustrated with S-plus with codes and data available on an associated Web site. |
| financial time series data: Multivariate Time Series Analysis Ruey S. Tsay, 2013-11-11 An accessible guide to the multivariate time series tools used in numerous real-world applications Multivariate Time Series Analysis: With R and Financial Applications is the much anticipated sequel coming from one of the most influential and prominent experts on the topic of time series. Through a fundamental balance of theory and methodology, the book supplies readers with a comprehensible approach to financial econometric models and their applications to real-world empirical research. Differing from the traditional approach to multivariate time series, the book focuses on reader comprehension by emphasizing structural specification, which results in simplified parsimonious VAR MA modeling. Multivariate Time Series Analysis: With R and Financial Applications utilizes the freely available R software package to explore complex data and illustrate related computation and analyses. Featuring the techniques and methodology of multivariate linear time series, stationary VAR models, VAR MA time series and models, unitroot process, factor models, and factor-augmented VAR models, the book includes: • Over 300 examples and exercises to reinforce the presented content • User-friendly R subroutines and research presented throughout to demonstrate modern applications • Numerous datasets and subroutines to provide readers with a deeper understanding of the material Multivariate Time Series Analysis is an ideal textbook for graduate-level courses on time series and quantitative finance and upper-undergraduate level statistics courses in time series. The book is also an indispensable reference for researchers and practitioners in business, finance, and econometrics. |
| financial time series data: Discrete Time Series, Processes, and Applications in Finance Gilles Zumbach, 2012-10-04 Most financial and investment decisions are based on considerations of possible future changes and require forecasts on the evolution of the financial world. Time series and processes are the natural tools for describing the dynamic behavior of financial data, leading to the required forecasts. This book presents a survey of the empirical properties of financial time series, their descriptions by means of mathematical processes, and some implications for important financial applications used in many areas like risk evaluation, option pricing or portfolio construction. The statistical tools used to extract information from raw data are introduced. Extensive multiscale empirical statistics provide a solid benchmark of stylized facts (heteroskedasticity, long memory, fat-tails, leverage...), in order to assess various mathematical structures that can capture the observed regularities. The author introduces a broad range of processes and evaluates them systematically against the benchmark, summarizing the successes and limitations of these models from an empirical point of view. The outcome is that only multiscale ARCH processes with long memory, discrete multiplicative structures and non-normal innovations are able to capture correctly the empirical properties. In particular, only a discrete time series framework allows to capture all the stylized facts in a process, whereas the stochastic calculus used in the continuum limit is too constraining. The present volume offers various applications and extensions for this class of processes including high-frequency volatility estimators, market risk evaluation, covariance estimation and multivariate extensions of the processes. The book discusses many practical implications and is addressed to practitioners and quants in the financial industry, as well as to academics, including graduate (Master or PhD level) students. The prerequisites are basic statistics and some elementary financial mathematics. |
| financial time series data: New Developments in Classification and Data Analysis Maurizio Vichi, Paola Monari, Stefania Mignani, Angela Montanari, 2006-05-06 This volume contains revised versions of selected papers presented during the biannual meeting of the Classification and Data Analysis Group of SocietA Italiana di Statistica, which was held in Bologna, September 22-24, 2003. The scientific program of the conference included 80 contributed papers. Moreover it was possible to recruit six internationally renowned invited spe- ers for plenary talks on their current research works regarding the core topics of IFCS (the International Federation of Classification Societies) and Wo- gang Gaul and the colleagues of the GfKl organized a session. Thus, the conference provided a large number of scientists and experts from home and abroad with an attractive forum for discussions and mutual exchange of knowledge. The talks in the different sessions focused on methodological developments in supervised and unsupervised classification and in data analysis, also p- viding relevant contributions in the context of applications. This suggested the presentation of the 43 selected papers in three parts as follows: CLASSIFICATION AND CLUSTERING Non parametric classification Clustering and dissimilarities MULTIVARIATE STATISTICS AND DATA ANALYSIS APPLIED MULTIVARIATE STATISTICS Environmental data Microarray data Behavioural and text data Financial data We wish to express our gratitude to the authors whose enthusiastic p- ticipation made the meeting possible. We are very grateful to the reviewers for the time spent in their professional reviewing work. We would also like to extend our thanks to the chairpersons and discussants of the sessions: their comments and suggestions proved very stimulating both for the authors and the audience. |
| financial time series data: The Econometric Modelling of Financial Time Series Terence C. Mills, Raphael N. Markellos, 2008-03-20 Terence Mills' best-selling graduate textbook provides detailed coverage of research techniques and findings relating to the empirical analysis of financial markets. In its previous editions it has become required reading for many graduate courses on the econometrics of financial modelling. This third edition, co-authored with Raphael Markellos, contains a wealth of material reflecting the developments of the last decade. Particular attention is paid to the wide range of nonlinear models that are used to analyse financial data observed at high frequencies and to the long memory characteristics found in financial time series. The central material on unit root processes and the modelling of trends and structural breaks has been substantially expanded into a chapter of its own. There is also an extended discussion of the treatment of volatility, accompanied by a new chapter on nonlinearity and its testing. |
| financial time series data: Python for Finance Yves Hilpisch, 2014-12-11 The financial industry has adopted Python at a tremendous rate recently, with some of the largest investment banks and hedge funds using it to build core trading and risk management systems. This hands-on guide helps both developers and quantitative analysts get started with Python, and guides you through the most important aspects of using Python for quantitative finance. Using practical examples through the book, author Yves Hilpisch also shows you how to develop a full-fledged framework for Monte Carlo simulation-based derivatives and risk analytics, based on a large, realistic case study. Much of the book uses interactive IPython Notebooks, with topics that include: Fundamentals: Python data structures, NumPy array handling, time series analysis with pandas, visualization with matplotlib, high performance I/O operations with PyTables, date/time information handling, and selected best practices Financial topics: mathematical techniques with NumPy, SciPy and SymPy such as regression and optimization; stochastics for Monte Carlo simulation, Value-at-Risk, and Credit-Value-at-Risk calculations; statistics for normality tests, mean-variance portfolio optimization, principal component analysis (PCA), and Bayesian regression Special topics: performance Python for financial algorithms, such as vectorization and parallelization, integrating Python with Excel, and building financial applications based on Web technologies |
| financial time series data: An Introduction to Analysis of Financial Data with R Ruey S. Tsay, 2014-08-21 A complete set of statistical tools for beginning financial analysts from a leading authority Written by one of the leading experts on the topic, An Introduction to Analysis of Financial Data with R explores basic concepts of visualization of financial data. Through a fundamental balance between theory and applications, the book supplies readers with an accessible approach to financial econometric models and their applications to real-world empirical research. The author supplies a hands-on introduction to the analysis of financial data using the freely available R software package and case studies to illustrate actual implementations of the discussed methods. The book begins with the basics of financial data, discussing their summary statistics and related visualization methods. Subsequent chapters explore basic time series analysis and simple econometric models for business, finance, and economics as well as related topics including: Linear time series analysis, with coverage of exponential smoothing for forecasting and methods for model comparison Different approaches to calculating asset volatility and various volatility models High-frequency financial data and simple models for price changes, trading intensity, and realized volatility Quantitative methods for risk management, including value at risk and conditional value at risk Econometric and statistical methods for risk assessment based on extreme value theory and quantile regression Throughout the book, the visual nature of the topic is showcased through graphical representations in R, and two detailed case studies demonstrate the relevance of statistics in finance. A related website features additional data sets and R scripts so readers can create their own simulations and test their comprehension of the presented techniques. An Introduction to Analysis of Financial Data with R is an excellent book for introductory courses on time series and business statistics at the upper-undergraduate and graduate level. The book is also an excellent resource for researchers and practitioners in the fields of business, finance, and economics who would like to enhance their understanding of financial data and today's financial markets. |
| financial time series data: Introduction to Modern Time Series Analysis Gebhard Kirchgässner, Jürgen Wolters, 2008-08-27 This book presents modern developments in time series econometrics that are applied to macroeconomic and financial time series. It contains the most important approaches to analyze time series which may be stationary or nonstationary. |
| financial time series data: Time Series Models for Business and Economic Forecasting Philip Hans Franses, Dick van Dijk, Anne Opschoor, 2014-04-24 With a new author team contributing decades of practical experience, this fully updated and thoroughly classroom-tested second edition textbook prepares students and practitioners to create effective forecasting models and master the techniques of time series analysis. Taking a practical and example-driven approach, this textbook summarises the most critical decisions, techniques and steps involved in creating forecasting models for business and economics. Students are led through the process with an entirely new set of carefully developed theoretical and practical exercises. Chapters examine the key features of economic time series, univariate time series analysis, trends, seasonality, aberrant observations, conditional heteroskedasticity and ARCH models, non-linearity and multivariate time series, making this a complete practical guide. Downloadable datasets are available online. |
| financial time series data: Time Series Analysis James D. Hamilton, 2020-09-01 An authoritative, self-contained overview of time series analysis for students and researchers The past decade has brought dramatic changes in the way that researchers analyze economic and financial time series. This textbook synthesizes these advances and makes them accessible to first-year graduate students. James Hamilton provides comprehensive treatments of important innovations such as vector autoregressions, generalized method of moments, the economic and statistical consequences of unit roots, time-varying variances, and nonlinear time series models. In addition, he presents basic tools for analyzing dynamic systems—including linear representations, autocovariance generating functions, spectral analysis, and the Kalman filter—in a way that integrates economic theory with the practical difficulties of analyzing and interpreting real-world data. Time Series Analysis fills an important need for a textbook that integrates economic theory, econometrics, and new results. This invaluable book starts from first principles and should be readily accessible to any beginning graduate student, while it is also intended to serve as a reference book for researchers. |
| financial time series data: Time Series Ngai Hang Chan, 2011-01-25 A new edition of the comprehensive, hands-on guide to financial time series, now featuring S-Plus® and R software Time Series: Applications to Finance with R and S-Plus®, Second Edition is designed to present an in-depth introduction to the conceptual underpinnings and modern ideas of time series analysis. Utilizing interesting, real-world applications and the latest software packages, this book successfully helps readers grasp the technical and conceptual manner of the topic in order to gain a deeper understanding of the ever-changing dynamics of the financial world. With balanced coverage of both theory and applications, this Second Edition includes new content to accurately reflect the current state-of-the-art nature of financial time series analysis. A new chapter on Markov Chain Monte Carlo presents Bayesian methods for time series with coverage of Metropolis-Hastings algorithm, Gibbs sampling, and a case study that explores the relevance of these techniques for understanding activity in the Dow Jones Industrial Average. The author also supplies a new presentation of statistical arbitrage that includes discussion of pairs trading and cointegration. In addition to standard topics such as forecasting and spectral analysis, real-world financial examples are used to illustrate recent developments in nonstandard techniques, including: Nonstationarity Heteroscedasticity Multivariate time series State space modeling and stochastic volatility Multivariate GARCH Cointegration and common trends The book's succinct and focused organization allows readers to grasp the important ideas of time series. All examples are systematically illustrated with S-Plus® and R software, highlighting the relevance of time series in financial applications. End-of-chapter exercises and selected solutions allow readers to test their comprehension of the presented material, and a related Web site features additional data sets. Time Series: Applications to Finance with R and S-Plus® is an excellent book for courses on financial time series at the upper-undergraduate and beginning graduate levels. It also serves as an indispensible resource for practitioners working with financial data in the fields of statistics, economics, business, and risk management. |
| financial time series data: Non-Linear Time Series Models in Empirical Finance Philip Hans Franses, Dick van Dijk, 2000-07-27 This 2000 volume reviews non-linear time series models, and their applications to financial markets. |
| financial time series data: Time Series Models D.R. Cox, D.V. Hinkley, O.E. Barndorff-Nielsen, 2020-11-26 The analysis prediction and interpolation of economic and other time series has a long history and many applications. Major new developments are taking place, driven partly by the need to analyze financial data. The five papers in this book describe those new developments from various viewpoints and are intended to be an introduction accessible to readers from a range of backgrounds. The book arises out of the second Seminaire European de Statistique (SEMSTAT) held in Oxford in December 1994. This brought together young statisticians from across Europe, and a series of introductory lectures were given on topics at the forefront of current research activity. The lectures form the basis for the five papers contained in the book. The papers by Shephard and Johansen deal respectively with time series models for volatility, i.e. variance heterogeneity, and with cointegration. Clements and Hendry analyze the nature of prediction errors. A complementary review paper by Laird gives a biometrical view of the analysis of short time series. Finally Astrup and Nielsen give a mathematical introduction to the study of option pricing. Whilst the book draws its primary motivation from financial series and from multivariate econometric modelling, the applications are potentially much broader. |
| financial time series data: Economic Time Series William R. Bell, Scott H. Holan, Tucker S. McElroy, 2018-11-14 Economic Time Series: Modeling and Seasonality is a focused resource on analysis of economic time series as pertains to modeling and seasonality, presenting cutting-edge research that would otherwise be scattered throughout diverse peer-reviewed journals. This compilation of 21 chapters showcases the cross-fertilization between the fields of time s |
| financial time series data: Statistical Analysis of Financial Data in S-Plus René Carmona, 2006-04-18 This is the first book at the graduate textbook level to discuss analyzing financial data with S-PLUS. Its originality lies in the introduction of tools for the estimation and simulation of heavy tail distributions and copulas, the computation of measures of risk, and the principal component analysis of yield curves. The book is aimed at undergraduate students in financial engineering; master students in finance and MBA's, and to practitioners with financial data analysis concerns. |
| financial time series data: Forecasting: principles and practice Rob J Hyndman, George Athanasopoulos, 2018-05-08 Forecasting is required in many situations. Stocking an inventory may require forecasts of demand months in advance. Telecommunication routing requires traffic forecasts a few minutes ahead. Whatever the circumstances or time horizons involved, forecasting is an important aid in effective and efficient planning. This textbook provides a comprehensive introduction to forecasting methods and presents enough information about each method for readers to use them sensibly. |
| financial time series data: Time Series and Panel Data Econometrics M. Hashem Pesaran, 2015 The book describes and illustrates many advances that have taken place in a number of areas in theoretical and applied econometrics over the past four decades. |
| financial time series data: Applied Nonlinear Time Series Analysis: Applications In Physics, Physiology And Finance Michael Small, 2005-03-28 Nonlinear time series methods have developed rapidly over a quarter of a century and have reached an advanced state of maturity during the last decade. Implementations of these methods for experimental data are now widely accepted and fairly routine; however, genuinely useful applications remain rare. This book focuses on the practice of applying these methods to solve real problems.To illustrate the usefulness of these methods, a wide variety of physical and physiological systems are considered. The technical tools utilized in this book fall into three distinct, but interconnected areas: quantitative measures of nonlinear dynamics, Monte-Carlo statistical hypothesis testing, and nonlinear modeling. Ten highly detailed applications serve as case studies of fruitful applications and illustrate the mathematical techniques described in the text. |
| financial time series data: Financial Data Analytics Sinem Derindere Köseoğlu, 2022-04-25 This book presents both theory of financial data analytics, as well as comprehensive insights into the application of financial data analytics techniques in real financial world situations. It offers solutions on how to logically analyze the enormous amount of structured and unstructured data generated every moment in the finance sector. This data can be used by companies, organizations, and investors to create strategies, as the finance sector rapidly moves towards data-driven optimization. This book provides an efficient resource, addressing all applications of data analytics in the finance sector. International experts from around the globe cover the most important subjects in finance, including data processing, knowledge management, machine learning models, data modeling, visualization, optimization for financial problems, financial econometrics, financial time series analysis, project management, and decision making. The authors provide empirical evidence as examples of specific topics. By combining both applications and theory, the book offers a holistic approach. Therefore, it is a must-read for researchers and scholars of financial economics and finance, as well as practitioners interested in a better understanding of financial data analytics. |
| financial time series data: Neural Network Time Series E. Michael Azoff, 1994-09-27 Comprehensively specified benchmarks are provided (including weight values), drawn from time series examples in chaos theory and financial futures. The book covers data preprocessing, random walk theory, trading systems and risk analysis. It also provides a literature review, a tutorial on backpropagation, and a chapter on further reading and software. |
| financial time series data: Statistical Analysis of Financial Data in R René Carmona, 2013-12-13 Although there are many books on mathematical finance, few deal with the statistical aspects of modern data analysis as applied to financial problems. This textbook fills this gap by addressing some of the most challenging issues facing financial engineers. It shows how sophisticated mathematics and modern statistical techniques can be used in the solutions of concrete financial problems. Concerns of risk management are addressed by the study of extreme values, the fitting of distributions with heavy tails, the computation of values at risk (VaR), and other measures of risk. Principal component analysis (PCA), smoothing, and regression techniques are applied to the construction of yield and forward curves. Time series analysis is applied to the study of temperature options and nonparametric estimation. Nonlinear filtering is applied to Monte Carlo simulations, option pricing and earnings prediction. This textbook is intended for undergraduate students majoring in financial engineering, or graduate students in a Master in finance or MBA program. It is sprinkled with practical examples using market data, and each chapter ends with exercises. Practical examples are solved in the R computing environment. They illustrate problems occurring in the commodity, energy and weather markets, as well as the fixed income, equity and credit markets. The examples, experiments and problem sets are based on the library Rsafd developed for the purpose of the text. The book should help quantitative analysts learn and implement advanced statistical concepts. Also, it will be valuable for researchers wishing to gain experience with financial data, implement and test mathematical theories, and address practical issues that are often ignored or underestimated in academic curricula. This is the new, fully-revised edition to the book Statistical Analysis of Financial Data in S-Plus. René Carmona is the Paul M. Wythes '55 Professor of Engineering and Finance at Princeton University in the department of Operations Research and Financial Engineering, and Director of Graduate Studies of the Bendheim Center for Finance. His publications include over one hundred articles and eight books in probability and statistics. He was elected Fellow of the Institute of Mathematical Statistics in 1984, and of the Society for Industrial and Applied Mathematics in 2010. He is on the editorial board of several peer-reviewed journals and book series. Professor Carmona has developed computer programs for teaching statistics and research in signal analysis and financial engineering. He has worked for many years on energy, the commodity markets and more recently in environmental economics, and he is recognized as a leading researcher and expert in these areas. |
| financial time series data: Practical Time Series Analysis Aileen Nielsen, 2019-09-20 Time series data analysis is increasingly important due to the massive production of such data through the internet of things, the digitalization of healthcare, and the rise of smart cities. As continuous monitoring and data collection become more common, the need for competent time series analysis with both statistical and machine learning techniques will increase. Covering innovations in time series data analysis and use cases from the real world, this practical guide will help you solve the most common data engineering and analysis challengesin time series, using both traditional statistical and modern machine learning techniques. Author Aileen Nielsen offers an accessible, well-rounded introduction to time series in both R and Python that will have data scientists, software engineers, and researchers up and running quickly. You’ll get the guidance you need to confidently: Find and wrangle time series data Undertake exploratory time series data analysis Store temporal data Simulate time series data Generate and select features for a time series Measure error Forecast and classify time series with machine or deep learning Evaluate accuracy and performance |
| financial time series data: Adventures In Financial Data Science: The Empirical Properties Of Financial And Economic Data (Second Edition) Graham L Giller, 2022-06-27 This book provides insights into the true nature of financial and economic data, and is a practical guide on how to analyze a variety of data sources. The focus of the book is on finance and economics, but it also illustrates the use of quantitative analysis and data science in many different areas. Lastly, the book includes practical information on how to store and process data and provides a framework for data driven reasoning about the world.The book begins with entertaining tales from Graham Giller's career in finance, starting with speculating in UK government bonds at the Oxford Post Office, accidentally creating a global instant messaging system that went 'viral' before anybody knew what that meant, on being the person who forgot to hit 'enter' to run a hundred-million dollar statistical arbitrage system, what he decoded from his brief time spent with Jim Simons, and giving Michael Bloomberg a tutorial on Granger Causality.The majority of the content is a narrative of analytic work done on financial, economics, and alternative data, structured around both Dr Giller's professional career and some of the things that just interested him. The goal is to stimulate interest in predictive methods, to give accurate characterizations of the true properties of financial, economic and alternative data, and to share what Richard Feynman described as 'The Pleasure of Finding Things Out.' |
| financial time series data: Introduction to Financial Forecasting in Investment Analysis John B. Guerard, Jr., 2013-01-04 Forecasting—the art and science of predicting future outcomes—has become a crucial skill in business and economic analysis. This volume introduces the reader to the tools, methods, and techniques of forecasting, specifically as they apply to financial and investing decisions. With an emphasis on earnings per share (eps), the author presents a data-oriented text on financial forecasting, understanding financial data, assessing firm financial strategies (such as share buybacks and R&D spending), creating efficient portfolios, and hedging stock portfolios with financial futures. The opening chapters explain how to understand economic fluctuations and how the stock market leads the general economic trend; introduce the concept of portfolio construction and how movements in the economy influence stock price movements; and introduce the reader to the forecasting process, including exponential smoothing and time series model estimations. Subsequent chapters examine the composite index of leading economic indicators (LEI); review financial statement analysis and mean-variance efficient portfolios; and assess the effectiveness of analysts’ earnings forecasts. Using data from such firms as Intel, General Electric, and Hitachi, Guerard demonstrates how forecasting tools can be applied to understand the business cycle, evaluate market risk, and demonstrate the impact of global stock selection modeling and portfolio construction. |
| financial time series data: Introduction to Time Series and Forecasting Peter J. Brockwell, Richard A. Davis, 2013-03-14 Some of the key mathematical results are stated without proof in order to make the underlying theory acccessible to a wider audience. The book assumes a knowledge only of basic calculus, matrix algebra, and elementary statistics. The emphasis is on methods and the analysis of data sets. The logic and tools of model-building for stationary and non-stationary time series are developed in detail and numerous exercises, many of which make use of the included computer package, provide the reader with ample opportunity to develop skills in this area. The core of the book covers stationary processes, ARMA and ARIMA processes, multivariate time series and state-space models, with an optional chapter on spectral analysis. Additional topics include harmonic regression, the Burg and Hannan-Rissanen algorithms, unit roots, regression with ARMA errors, structural models, the EM algorithm, generalized state-space models with applications to time series of count data, exponential smoothing, the Holt-Winters and ARAR forecasting algorithms, transfer function models and intervention analysis. Brief introducitons are also given to cointegration and to non-linear, continuous-time and long-memory models. The time series package included in the back of the book is a slightly modified version of the package ITSM, published separately as ITSM for Windows, by Springer-Verlag, 1994. It does not handle such large data sets as ITSM for Windows, but like the latter, runs on IBM-PC compatible computers under either DOS or Windows (version 3.1 or later). The programs are all menu-driven so that the reader can immediately apply the techniques in the book to time series data, with a minimal investment of time in the computational and algorithmic aspects of the analysis. |
| financial time series data: Time Series Robert Shumway, David Stoffer, 2019-05-17 The goals of this text are to develop the skills and an appreciation for the richness and versatility of modern time series analysis as a tool for analyzing dependent data. A useful feature of the presentation is the inclusion of nontrivial data sets illustrating the richness of potential applications to problems in the biological, physical, and social sciences as well as medicine. The text presents a balanced and comprehensive treatment of both time and frequency domain methods with an emphasis on data analysis. Numerous examples using data illustrate solutions to problems such as discovering natural and anthropogenic climate change, evaluating pain perception experiments using functional magnetic resonance imaging, and the analysis of economic and financial problems. The text can be used for a one semester/quarter introductory time series course where the prerequisites are an understanding of linear regression, basic calculus-based probability skills, and math skills at the high school level. All of the numerical examples use the R statistical package without assuming that the reader has previously used the software. Robert H. Shumway is Professor Emeritus of Statistics, University of California, Davis. He is a Fellow of the American Statistical Association and has won the American Statistical Association Award for Outstanding Statistical Application. He is the author of numerous texts and served on editorial boards such as the Journal of Forecasting and the Journal of the American Statistical Association. David S. Stoffer is Professor of Statistics, University of Pittsburgh. He is a Fellow of the American Statistical Association and has won the American Statistical Association Award for Outstanding Statistical Application. He is currently on the editorial boards of the Journal of Forecasting, the Annals of Statistical Mathematics, and the Journal of Time Series Analysis. He served as a Program Director in the Division of Mathematical Sciences at the National Science Foundation and as an Associate Editor for the Journal of the American Statistical Association and the Journal of Business & Economic Statistics. |
| financial time series data: Singular Spectrum Analysis for Time Series Nina Golyandina, Anatoly Zhigljavsky, 2020-11-23 This book gives an overview of singular spectrum analysis (SSA). SSA is a technique of time series analysis and forecasting combining elements of classical time series analysis, multivariate statistics, multivariate geometry, dynamical systems and signal processing. SSA is multi-purpose and naturally combines both model-free and parametric techniques, which makes it a very special and attractive methodology for solving a wide range of problems arising in diverse areas. Rapidly increasing number of novel applications of SSA is a consequence of the new fundamental research on SSA and the recent progress in computing and software engineering which made it possible to use SSA for very complicated tasks that were unthinkable twenty years ago. In this book, the methodology of SSA is concisely but at the same time comprehensively explained by two prominent statisticians with huge experience in SSA. The book offers a valuable resource for a very wide readership, including professional statisticians, specialists in signal and image processing, as well as specialists in numerous applied disciplines interested in using statistical methods for time series analysis, forecasting, signal and image processing. The second edition of the book contains many updates and some new material including a thorough discussion on the place of SSA among other methods and new sections on multivariate and multidimensional extensions of SSA. |
| financial time series data: Linear Models and Time-Series Analysis Marc S. Paolella, 2018-12-17 A comprehensive and timely edition on an emerging new trend in time series Linear Models and Time-Series Analysis: Regression, ANOVA, ARMA and GARCH sets a strong foundation, in terms of distribution theory, for the linear model (regression and ANOVA), univariate time series analysis (ARMAX and GARCH), and some multivariate models associated primarily with modeling financial asset returns (copula-based structures and the discrete mixed normal and Laplace). It builds on the author's previous book, Fundamental Statistical Inference: A Computational Approach, which introduced the major concepts of statistical inference. Attention is explicitly paid to application and numeric computation, with examples of Matlab code throughout. The code offers a framework for discussion and illustration of numerics, and shows the mapping from theory to computation. The topic of time series analysis is on firm footing, with numerous textbooks and research journals dedicated to it. With respect to the subject/technology, many chapters in Linear Models and Time-Series Analysis cover firmly entrenched topics (regression and ARMA). Several others are dedicated to very modern methods, as used in empirical finance, asset pricing, risk management, and portfolio optimization, in order to address the severe change in performance of many pension funds, and changes in how fund managers work. Covers traditional time series analysis with new guidelines Provides access to cutting edge topics that are at the forefront of financial econometrics and industry Includes latest developments and topics such as financial returns data, notably also in a multivariate context Written by a leading expert in time series analysis Extensively classroom tested Includes a tutorial on SAS Supplemented with a companion website containing numerous Matlab programs Solutions to most exercises are provided in the book Linear Models and Time-Series Analysis: Regression, ANOVA, ARMA and GARCH is suitable for advanced masters students in statistics and quantitative finance, as well as doctoral students in economics and finance. It is also useful for quantitative financial practitioners in large financial institutions and smaller finance outlets. |
| financial time series data: Time Series Analysis and Forecasting by Example Søren Bisgaard, Murat Kulahci, 2011-08-24 An intuition-based approach enables you to master time series analysis with ease Time Series Analysis and Forecasting by Example provides the fundamental techniques in time series analysis using various examples. By introducing necessary theory through examples that showcase the discussed topics, the authors successfully help readers develop an intuitive understanding of seemingly complicated time series models and their implications. The book presents methodologies for time series analysis in a simplified, example-based approach. Using graphics, the authors discuss each presented example in detail and explain the relevant theory while also focusing on the interpretation of results in data analysis. Following a discussion of why autocorrelation is often observed when data is collected in time, subsequent chapters explore related topics, including: Graphical tools in time series analysis Procedures for developing stationary, non-stationary, and seasonal models How to choose the best time series model Constant term and cancellation of terms in ARIMA models Forecasting using transfer function-noise models The final chapter is dedicated to key topics such as spurious relationships, autocorrelation in regression, and multiple time series. Throughout the book, real-world examples illustrate step-by-step procedures and instructions using statistical software packages such as SAS, JMP, Minitab, SCA, and R. A related Web site features PowerPoint slides to accompany each chapter as well as the book's data sets. With its extensive use of graphics and examples to explain key concepts, Time Series Analysis and Forecasting by Example is an excellent book for courses on time series analysis at the upper-undergraduate and graduate levels. it also serves as a valuable resource for practitioners and researchers who carry out data and time series analysis in the fields of engineering, business, and economics. |
Lecture 13: Financial Time Series Data - Stony Brook University
With respect to financial data, the price of any asset as a function of time naturally gives a time series. Many relevant statistics (such as the unemployment rate or index of leading economic …
Applying Deep Neural Networks to Financial Time Series …
In this chapter, we will describe the basics of traditional time series analyses, discuss how neural net-works work, show how to implement time series forecasting using neural networks, and …
Time series analysis and forecasting in finance: A data …
Time series analysis is a statistical and computational method for analyzing sequences of data points collected at successive intervals over time [10]. Its primary objective is to understand …
Anomaly Detection in Financial Transaction Time Series …
This master thesis investigates two methods of anomaly detection on financial time series data. It aims to determine an optimal method for anomaly detection with the purpose of flagging …
Financial Time Series Analysis using R - Interactive Brokers
Financial Time Series Analysis using R Interactive Brokers Webinar Series Presented by Majeed Simaan 1 1Lally School of Management at RPI June 15, 2017
Simulation of Multivariate Financial Time Series Data for
To avoid these dangers, there is a need for a richer toolkit that can provide quality time series data for backtesting. This thesis provides a basis for this toolkit, and is written in collaboration …
FINANCIAL TIME SERIES AND THEIR FEATURES
In comparison with other economic time series, the financial time series have some characteristic properties and shapes given by the microstructure of the financial market. The basic feature of …
Lecture notes: Financial time series, ARCH and GARCH
In order to compute E(y2 k), it is useful to consider an alternative representation of y2 k.
CONSISTENT FUNCTIONAL PCA FOR FINANCIAL TIME …
In the top panel of Figure 1 we present a time-series resulting from the NYMEX light sweet crude oil futures price data set (to be explained in more detail in Section 2.2).
ACCESS THE WORLD’S MOST COMPREHENSIVE …
• Transparent ESG data and scores for 10,000+ companies, 80% of global market cap across 76 countries • 450+ active ESG data points: 115+ environmental,160+ social, 190+ governance • …
FORECASTING FINANCIAL TIME SERIES DATA USING …
There are many methods, algorithms, and tools out in the market to predict financial data. While the main objective is to predict multiple time-steps into the future, it is hard to generate these …
Diffusion Model for Financial Time Series - cfe.columbia.edu
Our framework was validated using benchmark datasets, including indices for equities, fixed income, and real estate, resulting in synthetic data that closely aligns with the characteristics …
Selecting Wavelet Transforms Model in Forecasting …
In this paper, we present the advantage of wavelet transforms in forecasting financial time series data. Amman stock market (Jordan) was selected as a tool to show the ability of wavelet …
Data Representation and Pattern Recognition in Financial …
One major interest of financial time series analysis is to identify changepoints of trends and recog-nize patterns that can be used for classification and clustering of time series. Because …
Data Mining for Financial Time Series
This research studies the data mining process and the methods and techniques that can be applied in financial time series data, with the purpose of performing different kind of financial …
Time Series Data Analysis Using R - Portland State University
Given a response time series model, performs posterior inference on the counterfactual by computing estimates of the causal effect.
timeSeries: Financial Time Series Objects (Rmetrics)
It provides a class, timeSeries, particularly aimed at analysis of financial data, along with many methods, functions, and utilities for statistical and financial computations on time series. The …
USING TIME SERIES CHARTS TO ANALYZE FINANCIAL …
Combining the traditional financial reporting with a time series approach has resulted in a more in-depth appreciation of time series charts and the information contained in the charts. Managers …
Anomaly detection in financial time series data via mapper …
This study investigates the integration of the Mapper algorithm with DBSCAN clustering to detect anomalies in financial time series data, specifically using daily price data from the Dhaka Stock …
Analysis of Financial Time Series - cpb-us-w2.wpmucdn.com
Financial Time Series and Their Characteristics series analysis. Analysis of Financial Time Series, Second Edition
Lecture 13: Financial Time Series Data - Stony Brook University
With respect to financial data, the price of any asset as a function of time naturally gives a time series. Many relevant statistics (such as the unemployment rate or index of leading economic …
Applying Deep Neural Networks to Financial Time Series …
In this chapter, we will describe the basics of traditional time series analyses, discuss how neural net-works work, show how to implement time series forecasting using neural networks, and …
Time series analysis and forecasting in finance: A data …
Time series analysis is a statistical and computational method for analyzing sequences of data points collected at successive intervals over time [10]. Its primary objective is to understand …
Anomaly Detection in Financial Transaction Time Series …
This master thesis investigates two methods of anomaly detection on financial time series data. It aims to determine an optimal method for anomaly detection with the purpose of flagging …
Financial Time Series Analysis using R - Interactive Brokers
Financial Time Series Analysis using R Interactive Brokers Webinar Series Presented by Majeed Simaan 1 1Lally School of Management at RPI June 15, 2017
Simulation of Multivariate Financial Time Series Data for
To avoid these dangers, there is a need for a richer toolkit that can provide quality time series data for backtesting. This thesis provides a basis for this toolkit, and is written in collaboration …
FINANCIAL TIME SERIES AND THEIR FEATURES
In comparison with other economic time series, the financial time series have some characteristic properties and shapes given by the microstructure of the financial market. The basic feature of …
Lecture notes: Financial time series, ARCH and GARCH
In order to compute E(y2 k), it is useful to consider an alternative representation of y2 k.
CONSISTENT FUNCTIONAL PCA FOR FINANCIAL TIME …
In the top panel of Figure 1 we present a time-series resulting from the NYMEX light sweet crude oil futures price data set (to be explained in more detail in Section 2.2).
ACCESS THE WORLD’S MOST COMPREHENSIVE …
• Transparent ESG data and scores for 10,000+ companies, 80% of global market cap across 76 countries • 450+ active ESG data points: 115+ environmental,160+ social, 190+ governance • …
FORECASTING FINANCIAL TIME SERIES DATA USING …
There are many methods, algorithms, and tools out in the market to predict financial data. While the main objective is to predict multiple time-steps into the future, it is hard to generate these …
Diffusion Model for Financial Time Series - cfe.columbia.edu
Our framework was validated using benchmark datasets, including indices for equities, fixed income, and real estate, resulting in synthetic data that closely aligns with the characteristics …
Selecting Wavelet Transforms Model in Forecasting …
In this paper, we present the advantage of wavelet transforms in forecasting financial time series data. Amman stock market (Jordan) was selected as a tool to show the ability of wavelet …
Data Representation and Pattern Recognition in Financial …
One major interest of financial time series analysis is to identify changepoints of trends and recog-nize patterns that can be used for classification and clustering of time series. Because …
Data Mining for Financial Time Series
This research studies the data mining process and the methods and techniques that can be applied in financial time series data, with the purpose of performing different kind of financial …
Time Series Data Analysis Using R - Portland State University
Given a response time series model, performs posterior inference on the counterfactual by computing estimates of the causal effect.
timeSeries: Financial Time Series Objects (Rmetrics)
It provides a class, timeSeries, particularly aimed at analysis of financial data, along with many methods, functions, and utilities for statistical and financial computations on time series. The …
USING TIME SERIES CHARTS TO ANALYZE FINANCIAL …
Combining the traditional financial reporting with a time series approach has resulted in a more in-depth appreciation of time series charts and the information contained in the charts. Managers …
Anomaly detection in financial time series data via mapper …
This study investigates the integration of the Mapper algorithm with DBSCAN clustering to detect anomalies in financial time series data, specifically using daily price data from the Dhaka Stock …
